Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-3 Charlotte Independence — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 31 May 2026

📅31/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+4.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.4pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.37/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.75
-20% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
20.8 Crosses 17.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Charlotte Independence
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.32 xG 1.71
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
277 Passes 365
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-2 HT 1-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
07.09.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
29.03.2025 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 0-0 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
17.07.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-2 HT 0-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
15.06.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 4-2 HT 1-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
10.09.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 3-0 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
2-3
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.60 xG 2.35
7 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
162 Passes 277
25 Box Touches 32
22 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Independence squeezed past Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Chattanooga Red Wolves at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 7-25, expected goals 1.60 to 2.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte Independence led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 1.67 for Charlotte Independence.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-3 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chattanooga Red Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 49%, draw 25%, Charlotte Independence 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
31 May 2026
01:30 Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity Analysis →
02:00 Richmond Kickers vs Athletic Club Boise Analysis →
02:30 Sarasota Paradise vs New York Cosmos Analysis →
02:30 Fort Wayne vs Alta Analysis →
03:00 Union Omaha vs Naples Analysis →