Düren Merzenich 0-4 Rödinghausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Düren Merzenich EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rödinghausen EU Bookmakers 36%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
2.25/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.39
+39% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Düren Merzenich
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Rödinghausen
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
03.02.2024 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 2-3 HT 1-1 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
12.08.2023 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 2-0 HT 1-0 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
25.02.2023 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 1-1 HT 0-0 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
03.09.2022 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 0-2 HT 0-0 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Düren Merzenich
0-4
AWAY Rödinghausen
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Düren Merzenich vs Rödinghausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rödinghausen swept aside Düren Merzenich 4-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Düren Merzenich at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Düren Merzenich had 52% of the ball to Rödinghausen's 48%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rödinghausen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Düren Merzenich and 2.00 for Rödinghausen.

What was the final score of Düren Merzenich vs Rödinghausen?

Düren Merzenich 0-4 Rödinghausen in the Germany - Regional League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Düren Merzenich vs Rödinghausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Düren Merzenich win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Düren Merzenich 41%, draw 27%, Rödinghausen 32%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Düren Merzenich), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Düren Merzenich) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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