Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.52
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
9%
6.24
X/2
18%
4.98
X/X
13%
4.5
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
14%
3.19
2/X
9%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.1pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.4pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -19%
1.42/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.18
+15% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
16.3 Crosses 19.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.07 xG 1.43
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
344 Passes 334
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.05.2025 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
29.10.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
02.04.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
25.08.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-4 HT 0-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
06.06.2021 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-1 HT 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JLK
02.06.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1-1
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.89 xG 0.95
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
273 Passes 593
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 39
10 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse and Kashima Antlers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kashima Antlers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 34% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 66%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.89 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.83 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashima Antlers?

Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 28%, draw 31%, Kashima Antlers 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kashima Antlers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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