Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 Albirex Niigata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.21
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
13%
4.21
X/2
6%
9.12
X/X
13%
5.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.35
2/2
9%
7.17
2/X
6%
15.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.35 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.89/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.42
+13% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
17.4 Crosses 14.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.06
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
456 Passes 426
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2025 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-1 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
08.12.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
11.05.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-4 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
02.09.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
18.03.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 2-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
09.07.2017 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
1-0
AWAY Albirex Niigata
0.93 xG 1.98
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
400 Passes 392
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Albirex Niigata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds squeezed past Albirex Niigata 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Urawa Red Diamonds as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 49% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 51%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 0.93 to 1.98 — the balance of chances actually favoured Albirex Niigata.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 1.00 for Albirex Niigata.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Albirex Niigata?

Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - J1 League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Albirex Niigata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 52%, draw 26%, Albirex Niigata 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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