Nagoya Grampus 1-1 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.29
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
13%
4.98
X/2
15%
6.11
X/X
9%
4.33
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
11%
4.49
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.22/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.13
-8% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
16.0 Crosses 14.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.17 xG 1.47
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
296 Passes 403
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2025 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 3-1 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
14.09.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 4-1 HT 2-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
15.05.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
24.06.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-0 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
18.03.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
29.10.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
1-1
AWAY FC Tokyo
2.11 xG 1.45
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
239 Passes 332
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus and FC Tokyo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nagoya Grampus at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 45% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 55%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.11 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tokyo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 1.83 for FC Tokyo.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo?

Nagoya Grampus 1-1 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 43%, draw 25%, FC Tokyo 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
31 Aug 2025
12:30 Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →
13:00 Urawa Red Diamonds vs Albirex Niigata Analysis →
13:00 Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia Analysis →
13:00 Shonan Bellmare vs Gamba Osaka Analysis →
13:00 Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis →
13:00 Kashiwa Reysol vs Avispa Fukuoka Analysis →