Libertad 1-1 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
45%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.59
Over 2.5
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.6pp
22%
Draw
29%
-6.4pp
45%
Away Win
34%
+11.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.43/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.42
+25% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
27.01.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-2 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
29.11.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-3 HT 1-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
15.09.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
04.05.2024 Libertad Libertad 1-3 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
12.02.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
1-1
AWAY Cerro Porteno
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad and Cerro Porteno couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Libertad had 48% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 52%, shots finished 11-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Libertad and 1.50 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Cerro Porteno?

Libertad 1-1 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Libertad 33%, draw 22%, Cerro Porteno 45%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno)
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