Salzburg vs Hartberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Salzburg v Hartberg — Team-Based Signals
Salzburg vs Hartberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Salzburg 1-0 Hartberg — Actual Match Statistics
Salzburg edged past Hartberg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 36-5, expected goals 4.11 to 0.73 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Salzburg's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Salzburg and 1.00 for Hartberg.
What was the final score of Salzburg vs Hartberg?
Salzburg 1-0 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Hartberg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 60%, draw 22%, Hartberg 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.