HNK Gorica 0-2 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
20.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.27/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.91
+8% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
17.8 Crosses 16.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Gorica
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Osijek
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.75 xG 1.10
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
275 Passes 356
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2026 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-0 HT 2-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
14.03.2026 Osijek Osijek 0-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
13.12.2025 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 0-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
28.09.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-1 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
19.04.2025 Osijek Osijek 0-1 HT 0-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
08.02.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Gorica
0-2
AWAY Osijek
1.07 xG 2.71
9 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
269 Passes 351
10 Box Touches 40
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HNK Gorica vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek beat HNK Gorica 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Osijek made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 9-25, expected goals 1.07 to 2.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HNK Gorica had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HNK Gorica and 0.33 for Osijek.

What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Osijek?

HNK Gorica 0-2 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 35%, draw 30%, Osijek 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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