HNK Gorica vs Osijek Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HNK Gorica v Osijek — Team-Based Signals
HNK Gorica vs Osijek Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
HNK Gorica 2-0 Osijek — Actual Match Statistics
HNK Gorica got the better of Osijek 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had HNK Gorica as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, HNK Gorica had 41% of the ball to Osijek's 59%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.55 to 1.29 — on chances, Osijek could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for HNK Gorica and 0.67 for Osijek.
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Osijek?
HNK Gorica 2-0 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Osijek?
Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 44%, draw 26%, Osijek 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HNK Gorica) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.