Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
2.96
6+ Goals
14%
9.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-0.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 57%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -18%
1.18/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.99
-5% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -15%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
258 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
17.9 Crosses 18.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Hajduk Split
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.33 xG 2.37
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
294 Passes 327
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2026 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
13.12.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-3 HT 1-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
27.09.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
13.04.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
02.02.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-2 HT 2-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
26.10.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
1-1
AWAY Hajduk Split
1.50 xG 3.39
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
259 Passes 391
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 45
20 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb and Hajduk Split couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hajduk Split at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 42% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 58%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.50 to 3.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 2.00 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Hajduk Split?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 26%, draw 21%, Hajduk Split 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hajduk Split), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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