Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hajduk Split v Lokomotiva Zagreb — Team-Based Signals
Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hajduk Split 2-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Actual Match Statistics
Hajduk Split squeezed past Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Hajduk Split had 46% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 54%, shots finished 21-17, expected goals 4.24 to 1.88 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hajduk Split's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hajduk Split and 1.17 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.
What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Hajduk Split 2-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 60%, draw 20%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.