Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Istra 1961 v Lokomotiva Zagreb — Team-Based Signals
Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Istra 1961 2-3 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiva Zagreb edged past Istra 1961 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lokomotiva Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 2.35 to 1.16 — the balance of chances actually favoured Istra 1961.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Istra 1961 and 1.00 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.
What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Istra 1961 2-3 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 32%, draw 27%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.