St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Louis City v Los Angeles Galaxy — Team-Based Signals
St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-2
St. Louis City
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
Los Angeles Galaxy
ABD
St. Louis City 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy — Actual Match Statistics
St. Louis City squeezed past Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day St. Louis City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, St. Louis City had 41% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 59%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.68 to 0.75.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for St. Louis City and 2.00 for Los Angeles Galaxy.
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
St. Louis City 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy in the USA - Major League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 40%, draw 26%, Los Angeles Galaxy 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Louis City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.