ADO Den Haag 3-4 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
8.08
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.26 — our 23% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.83
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
5%
12.45
X/1
18%
5.21
X/2
9%
7.32
X/X
11%
5.46
2/1
8%
22.45
2/2
16%
4.81
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
1.50/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.31
+11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
21.6 Crosses 18.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cambuur
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.64 xG 1.44
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
255 Passes 298
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 2-1 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
29.10.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-4 HT 1-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOK
05.04.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 0-2 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
12.11.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-2 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
24.01.2016 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
25.10.2015 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
3-4
AWAY Cambuur
2.31 xG 1.53
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
340 Passes 308
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur squeezed past ADO Den Haag 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was ADO Den Haag at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 52% of the ball to Cambuur's 48%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.31 to 1.53 — the balance of chances actually favoured ADO Den Haag.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.67 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur?

ADO Den Haag 3-4 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 45%, draw 24%, Cambuur 31%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ADO Den Haag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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