De Graafschap vs Telstar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
De Graafschap v Telstar — Team-Based Signals
De Graafschap vs Telstar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
De Graafschap 2-1 Telstar — Actual Match Statistics
De Graafschap nicked a narrow win over Telstar 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had De Graafschap as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, De Graafschap had 59% of the ball to Telstar's 41%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.97 to 1.53.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for De Graafschap and 0.83 for Telstar.
What was the final score of De Graafschap vs Telstar?
De Graafschap 2-1 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for De Graafschap vs Telstar?
Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 43%, draw 24%, Telstar 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Graafschap), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.