Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Colorado Rapids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.15
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
25%
4.35
X/2
9%
9.56
X/X
10%
5.99
2/1
5%
20.5
2/2
9%
6.41
2/X
5%
14.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
55%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
2.02/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.82
+3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
24.5 Crosses 17.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Colorado Rapids
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.01 xG 1.89
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
364 Passes 393
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 29
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.05.2024 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
28.09.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-2 HT 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
30.04.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 0-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
11.09.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 3-1 HT 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
18.08.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 HT 2-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
20.09.2021 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-1 HT 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
2-1
AWAY Colorado Rapids
2.44 xG 1.48
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
416 Passes 368
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Colorado Rapids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps nicked a narrow win over Colorado Rapids 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vancouver Whitecaps as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 53% of the ball to Colorado Rapids's 47%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 2.44 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Rapids led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.33 for Colorado Rapids.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Colorado Rapids?

Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Colorado Rapids in the USA - Major League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Colorado Rapids?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 51%, draw 24%, Colorado Rapids 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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