Austria Wien 1-0 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
1.75
Over
58%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
64%
1.9
No
36%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2.86
2-3
40%
1.73
4-5
28%
3.78
6+
11%
16.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.27
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.65
X/1
13%
4.09
X/2
10%
8.98
X/X
9%
4.7
2/1
11%
24.8
2/2
10%
7.53
2/X
10%
16.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.8 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
53%
-11.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
47%
+11.7pp
64%
BTTS Yes
49%
+15.2pp
36%
BTTS No
51%
-15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +20%
1.64/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.72
+1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
22.3 Crosses 11.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hartberg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.37 xG 1.14
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
405 Passes 246
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 11
34 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2026 Hartberg Hartberg 0-1 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
01.11.2025 Hartberg Hartberg 2-1 HT 2-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
24.08.2025 Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-3 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
02.04.2025 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVK
24.11.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
18.08.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-1 HT 1-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
1-0
AWAY Hartberg
0.85 xG 0.30
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
307 Passes 356
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien edged past Hartberg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Austria Wien as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Austria Wien had 47% of the ball to Hartberg's 53%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.85 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartberg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Austria Wien and 1.17 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Hartberg?

Austria Wien 1-0 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 47%, draw 27%, Hartberg 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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