Levski Sofia 3-2 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Jul 2025

📅03/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
22%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
77%
-18.0pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.7pp
22%
Away Win
8%
+13.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 11%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-14% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
463 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
3W-0D-3L
AWAY PFC Beroe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.04.2025 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-1 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
25.10.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-2 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
20.04.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
27.10.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-1 HT 1-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
23.04.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
06.07.2014 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-3 HT 0-2 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
3-2
AWAY PFC Beroe
68% Ball Possession 32%
35 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia squeezed past PFC Beroe 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Levski Sofia had 68% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 32%, shots finished 35-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Levski Sofia and 1.17 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

Levski Sofia 3-2 PFC Beroe in the Friendlies on 03/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 59%, draw 19%, PFC Beroe 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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