Sligo Rovers 1-2 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 3 Jul 2026

📅03/07/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
58%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 31% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
8.5
1/2
12%
22.65
1/X
5%
16.65
X/1
8%
10.45
X/2
23%
4.07
X/X
11%
5.37
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
23%
2.02
2/X
6%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
58%
Away Win
58%
-0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 62%
+12% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.04/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.72
-9% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
246 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
18.1 Crosses 19.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.24 xG 1.28
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
221 Passes 458
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.05.2026 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-2 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
13.03.2026 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-2 HT 0-2 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
01.11.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
05.07.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-2 HT 2-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
05.05.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
03.03.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
1-2
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
1.12 xG 1.62
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
223 Passes 637
16 Box Touches 50
20 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers edged past Sligo Rovers 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 32% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 68%, shots finished 10-24, expected goals 1.12 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sligo Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sligo Rovers and 1.50 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers?

Sligo Rovers 1-2 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 03/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 20%, draw 22%, Shamrock Rovers 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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