St Patricks 3-0 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 3 Jul 2026

📅03/07/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.45
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.89
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.74
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
4%
16.55
X/1 EV+ ✗
26%
3.92
X/2
6%
12.95
X/X
6%
6.34
2/1
7%
21.15
2/2
7%
10.65
2/X
6%
18.9
Value flag · X/1 at 3.92 — our 26% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
65%
+3.4pp
16%
Draw
21%
-4.3pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.6pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.81/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.56
+3% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
24.2 Crosses 14.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Galway United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.17 xG 1.22
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
363 Passes 204
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.05.2026 Galway United Galway United 2-2 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
02.03.2026 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
19.09.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 1-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
14.09.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 3-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRK
20.06.2025 Galway United Galway United 3-1 HT 3-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
02.05.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 2-0 HT 2-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
3-0
AWAY Galway United
2.06 xG 0.48
24 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 3
406 Passes 195
38 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks ran out comfortable winners over Galway United 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 2.06 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for St Patricks and 1.17 for Galway United.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Galway United?

St Patricks 3-0 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 03/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 68%, draw 16%, Galway United 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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