Vancouver Whitecaps 0-3 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.49
6+ Goals
11%
13.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.46
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
30.0
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
13%
5.31
X/2
10%
5.87
X/X
11%
4.6
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
14%
3.98
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.0 — our 7% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
1.62/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.36
+9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
21.0 Crosses 19.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.44 xG 1.10
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
380 Passes 460
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-1 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
21.04.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-2 HT 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
08.10.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
09.07.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-3 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
21.05.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
18.09.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 HT 2-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
0-3
AWAY Seattle Sounders
1.06 xG 1.71
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
301 Passes 470
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Box Touches 31
29 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seattle Sounders cruised past Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vancouver Whitecaps at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 41% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 59%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.06 to 1.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 0.83 for Seattle Sounders.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders?

Vancouver Whitecaps 0-3 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 43%, draw 26%, Seattle Sounders 31%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✗ BTTS Yes
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