Beşiktaş 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
32%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.21
Over
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.54
2-3
37%
1.9
4-5
27%
2.9
6+
12%
8.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.0
1/2
8%
23.6
1/X
11%
12.65
X/1
19%
6.37
X/2
11%
5.32
X/X
14%
5.35
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
13%
3.11
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
32%
Away Win
41%
-8.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.6pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.83/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.72
-16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
26.2 Crosses 16.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
1-3
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
2.59 xG 2.36
65% Ball Possession 35%
27 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 1
503 Passes 229
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
40 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt got the better of Beşiktaş 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Eintracht Frankfurt found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 65% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 35%, shots finished 27-11, expected goals 2.59 to 2.36.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Beşiktaş 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt in the UEFA Europa League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 37%, draw 31%, Eintracht Frankfurt 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beşiktaş) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVL More UEFA Europa League
3 Oct 2024
19:45 Hoffenheim vs Dynamo Kiev Analysis →
19:45 Ferencvaros vs Tottenham Analysis →
19:45 Slavia Prag vs Ajax Analysis →
19:45 Rigas Skola vs Galatasaray Analysis →
19:45 Lazio vs Nice Analysis →
19:45 Real Sociedad vs Anderlecht Analysis →