Lazio vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lazio v Nice — Team-Based Signals
Lazio vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Nice
AVL
1-3
HT 1-1
Lazio
AVL
Lazio 4-1 Nice — Actual Match Statistics
Lazio swept aside Nice 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lazio as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Lazio had 40% of the ball to Nice's 60%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.96 to 1.04.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lazio had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lazio and 0.50 for Nice.
What was the final score of Lazio vs Nice?
Lazio 4-1 Nice in the UEFA Europa League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lazio vs Nice?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lazio 45%, draw 24%, Nice 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.