Rigas Skola 2-2 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
48%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.61
Over
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No Pick
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
28%
6.04
2-3
38%
2.08
4-5
23%
2.56
6+
11%
5.71
Value flag · 0-1 at 6.04 — our 28% vs market 12.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
11.3
1/2
8%
19.75
1/X
7%
19.2
X/1
8%
16.35
X/2
19%
3.73
X/X
11%
8.13
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
21%
1.59
2/X
5%
19.3
Value flag · 1/1 at 11.3 — our 16% vs market 5.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
14%
+15.2pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.8pp
48%
Away Win
68%
-20.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.9pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 72%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.99/1.03
-100% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -27%
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
219 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rigas Skola
2-2
AWAY Galatasaray
1.19 xG 2.35
24% Ball Possession 76%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
163 Passes 650
69% Pass Accuracy 90%
17 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 40
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rigas Skola vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola and Galatasaray shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Galatasaray at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rigas Skola had 24% of the ball to Galatasaray's 76%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.19 to 2.35.

What was the final score of Rigas Skola vs Galatasaray?

Rigas Skola 2-2 Galatasaray in the UEFA Europa League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas Skola vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rigas Skola 29%, draw 23%, Galatasaray 48%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ BTTS No
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