Karabağ vs Malmö FF Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karabağ v Malmö FF — Team-Based Signals
Karabağ 1-2 Malmö FF — Actual Match Statistics
Malmö FF edged past Karabağ 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Karabağ at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Karabağ had 55% of the ball to Malmö FF's 45%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.94 to 0.81.
What was the final score of Karabağ vs Malmö FF?
Karabağ 1-2 Malmö FF in the UEFA Europa League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Malmö FF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 42%, draw 29%, Malmö FF 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karabağ), Under 2.5 went the other way.