Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-2 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
2.18
Over
43%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.55
No
54%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
27%
4.41
2-3
45%
1.89
4-5
18%
2.94
6+
10%
8.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.41 — our 27% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.89
1/2
6%
22.7
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
16%
7.4
X/2
11%
4.84
X/X
14%
5.27
2/1
9%
32.0
2/2
17%
2.69
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
29%
+9.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
34%
Away Win
45%
-11.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
42%
+14.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
58%
-14.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.5pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.39/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/2.37
-69% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -50%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.8 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
0-2
AWAY Midtjylland
2.43 xG 1.54
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
470 Passes 280
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
43 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland saw off Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Midtjylland found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Maccabi Tel Aviv had 61% of the ball to Midtjylland's 39%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.43 to 1.54 — on chances, Maccabi Tel Aviv could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Midtjylland?

Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-2 Midtjylland in the UEFA Europa League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Tel Aviv 38%, draw 27%, Midtjylland 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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