Ferencvaros 1-2 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.97
Over Pick
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.63
2-3
38%
1.81
4-5
24%
3.32
6+
12%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.08
1/2
10%
23.6
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
11%
7.07
X/2
13%
4.49
X/X
11%
5.09
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.71
2/X
6%
13.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.6 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 50%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.47/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/2.37
+18% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / -50%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 82%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.1 Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
1-2
AWAY Tottenham
1.27 xG 1.32
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 11
288 Passes 445
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
26 Box Touches 36
27 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham edged past Ferencvaros 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tottenham as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 42% of the ball to Tottenham's 58%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.27 to 1.32.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Tottenham?

Ferencvaros 1-2 Tottenham in the UEFA Europa League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 28%, draw 24%, Tottenham 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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