Elfsborg vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Elfsborg v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Elfsborg 1-0 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Elfsborg nicked a narrow win over Roma 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Elfsborg made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Elfsborg had 25% of the ball to Roma's 75%, shots finished 6-23, expected goals 1.41 to 1.79.
What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Roma?
Elfsborg 1-0 Roma in the UEFA Europa League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Roma?
Before kick-off our model rated an Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 34%, draw 26%, Roma 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Roma) went the other way.