Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 Bodo / Glimt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.03
Over Pick
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
20%
3.83
2-3
46%
1.83
4-5
24%
3.2
6+
10%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.51
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
9%
4.42
X/2
9%
7.88
X/X
9%
5.13
2/1
10%
23.15
2/2
14%
5.63
2/X
8%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodo / Glimt EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.9 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
0-0
AWAY Bodo / Glimt
1.77 xG 1.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
21 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
352 Passes 399
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
55 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Bodo / Glimt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise and Bodo / Glimt fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Union Saint-Gilloise at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 46% of the ball to Bodo / Glimt's 54%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.77 to 1.37.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Bodo / Glimt?

Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 Bodo / Glimt in the UEFA Europa League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Bodo / Glimt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 49%, draw 23%, Bodo / Glimt 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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