Viktoria Plzen 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.8
Over
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No Pick
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.16
2-3
39%
1.78
4-5
23%
3.71
6+
9%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.33
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
15%
4.11
X/2
11%
9.09
X/X
9%
4.6
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
9%
7.14
2/X
8%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 24%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.71/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.07
-11% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.7
19.2 Crosses 6.7
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
248 Passes 277
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
23.08.2016 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-2 HT 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad ŞMP
17.08.2016 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
0-0
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
0.81 xG 1.03
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
352 Passes 358
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen and Ludogorets Razgrad fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Viktoria Plzen at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 49% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 51%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.81 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 2.00 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Viktoria Plzen 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad in the UEFA Europa League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 48%, draw 26%, Ludogorets Razgrad 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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