Aris Saloniki 1-1 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.84/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.74
-11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
237 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
3W-2D-1L
AWAY PAOK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.72 xG 0.89
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
244 Passes 386
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.01.2025 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-0 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
29.09.2024 PAOK PAOK 0-1 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
19.05.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
10.03.2024 PAOK PAOK 0-1 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
07.01.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-1 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
17.09.2023 PAOK PAOK 0-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
1-1
AWAY PAOK
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki and PAOK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was PAOK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 50% of the ball to PAOK's 50%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aris Saloniki and 0.50 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs PAOK?

Aris Saloniki 1-1 PAOK in the Greece - Cup on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 29%, draw 29%, PAOK 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (PAOK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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