Sheffield Wednesday 2-2 Millwall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.35
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.35
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1
12%
4.52
X/2
15%
6.25
X/X
16%
3.68
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
13%
5.27
2/X
8%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.28/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.22
-13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
289 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 68%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
21.0 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Millwall
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.89 xG 1.47
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 Passes 251
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Millwall Millwall 3-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
17.02.2024 Millwall Millwall 0-2 HT 0-2 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
11.11.2023 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-4 HT 0-2 Millwall Millwall İNCL
06.02.2021 Millwall Millwall 4-1 HT 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
07.11.2020 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
01.02.2020 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
2-2
AWAY Millwall
1.84 xG 1.32
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
292 Passes 180
76% Pass Accuracy 64%
31 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sheffield Wednesday vs Millwall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield Wednesday and Millwall shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sheffield Wednesday had 58% of the ball to Millwall's 42%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.84 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sheffield Wednesday and 1.83 for Millwall.

What was the final score of Sheffield Wednesday vs Millwall?

Sheffield Wednesday 2-2 Millwall in the England - Championship on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield Wednesday vs Millwall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield Wednesday win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sheffield Wednesday 38%, draw 29%, Millwall 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
4 Jan 2025
15:30 Blackburn Rovers vs Burnley Analysis →
15:30 Swansea City vs West Bromwich Analysis →
15:30 Stoke City vs Plymouth Argyle Analysis →
18:00 Hull City vs Leeds United Analysis →
18:00 Norwich City vs Coventry Analysis →
18:00 Preston North End vs Oxford United Analysis →