NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NK Varazdin v HNK Gorica — Team-Based Signals
NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
NK Varazdin 1-3 HNK Gorica — Actual Match Statistics
HNK Gorica saw off NK Varazdin 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had HNK Gorica as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, NK Varazdin had 51% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 49%, shots finished 15-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Varazdin had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for NK Varazdin and 0.83 for HNK Gorica.
What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
NK Varazdin 1-3 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
Before kick-off our model rated an HNK Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 30%, draw 28%, HNK Gorica 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HNK Gorica), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.