Rijeka vs Hajduk Split Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rijeka v Hajduk Split — Team-Based Signals
Rijeka vs Hajduk Split Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Rijeka 3-2 Hajduk Split — Actual Match Statistics
Rijeka nicked a narrow win over Hajduk Split 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Rijeka found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Rijeka had 59% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 41%, shots finished 15-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Rijeka and 1.00 for Hajduk Split.
What was the final score of Rijeka vs Hajduk Split?
Rijeka 3-2 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Hajduk Split?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 38%, draw 23%, Hajduk Split 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hajduk Split), Under 2.5 went the other way.