Al Duhail SC vs Al Gharafa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Duhail SC v Al Gharafa — Team-Based Signals
Al Duhail SC vs Al Gharafa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Al Duhail SC 3-2 Al Gharafa — Actual Match Statistics
Al Duhail SC edged past Al Gharafa 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Duhail SC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Al Duhail SC had 57% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 43%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.49 to 1.09.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Duhail SC and 1.33 for Al Gharafa.
What was the final score of Al Duhail SC vs Al Gharafa?
Al Duhail SC 3-2 Al Gharafa in the Qatar League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Duhail SC vs Al Gharafa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Duhail SC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Duhail SC 52%, draw 22%, Al Gharafa 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Duhail SC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.