Al Shamal vs Umm Salal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Shamal v Umm Salal — Team-Based Signals
Al Shamal vs Umm Salal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Al Shamal 3-2 Umm Salal — Actual Match Statistics
Al Shamal edged past Umm Salal 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Shamal as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Al Shamal had 56% of the ball to Umm Salal's 44%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.36 to 0.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Shamal's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shamal had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Al Shamal and 1.33 for Umm Salal.
What was the final score of Al Shamal vs Umm Salal?
Al Shamal 3-2 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Shamal vs Umm Salal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shamal win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Shamal 51%, draw 21%, Umm Salal 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shamal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.