Carrarese 2-1 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 4 May 2025

Carrarese
2 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Modena
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Carrarese vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.39
Draw
35%
2.76
Away
29%
3.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.69
Over
44%
2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.87
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.7
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
19%
4.17
6+
4%
20.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.54
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
6%
11.4
X/1
14%
5.69
X/2
12%
7.0
X/X
23%
3.66
2/1
2%
31.5
2/2
15%
4.95
2/X
6%
11.9
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Carrarese v Modena — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Carrarese The Market 42%
Signal
AWAY Modena The Market 32%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.37 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.21
1.05 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.21
Strong Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 79%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Carrarese vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Modena
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.19 xG 0.89
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
378 Passes 271
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Modena Modena 2-0 HT 1-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTB
12.03.2022 Carrarese Carrarese 2-3 HT 0-1 Modena Modena İTC
31.10.2021 Modena Modena 2-0 HT 1-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC

Carrarese 2-1 Modena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
2 - 1
AWAY Modena
1.10 xG 1.56
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 6
180 Passes 396
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Carrarese vs Modena
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Carrarese nicked a narrow win over Modena 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 35% / 29%) promised a tight game; Carrarese found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (56%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Carrarese had 35% of the ball to Modena's 65%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 1.10 to 1.56 — on chances, Modena could feel hard done by.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Modena led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Carrarese and 2.33 for Modena.

Carrarese vs Modena Result & Final Score

Carrarese 2 - 1 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Carrarese vs Modena Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 36%, draw 35%, Modena 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrarese), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carrarese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
4 May 2025
16:00 Catanzaro vs Sampdoria Analysis →
16:00 Reggiana vs Spezia Analysis →
16:00 FC Bari 1908 vs Pisa Analysis →
16:00 Frosinone vs Cittadella Analysis →
16:00 Cesena vs Palermo Analysis →
16:00 Südtirol vs Cosenza Calcio Analysis →