FC Bari 1908 1-0 Pisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 4 May 2025

FC Bari 1908
1-0 HT 1-0
Pisa
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

FC Bari 1908 vs Pisa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.44
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.69
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.73
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.4
X/1
9%
6.51
X/2
13%
5.69
X/X
20%
3.51
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
18%
3.8
2/X
7%
12.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.0pp
32%
Draw
33%
-0.9pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Bari 1908 v Pisa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Pisa EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.31/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.22
+3% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
22.4 Crosses 18.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

FC Bari 1908 vs Pisa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Pisa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 1.11
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
360 Passes 265
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.12.2024 Pisa Pisa 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
20.04.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 0-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
16.09.2023 Pisa Pisa 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
23.04.2023 Pisa Pisa 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
04.12.2022 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-0 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
29.04.2017 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-0 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB

FC Bari 1908 1-0 Pisa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
1-0
AWAY Pisa
0.52 xG 0.91
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
150 Passes 478
68% Pass Accuracy 87%
6 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 35
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Pisa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 squeezed past Pisa 1-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 32% / 39%) promised a tight game; FC Bari 1908 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 29% of the ball to Pisa's 71%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.52 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 0.83 for Pisa.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Pisa?

FC Bari 1908 1-0 Pisa in the Italy - Serie B on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Pisa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 30%, draw 32%, Pisa 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pisa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pisa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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