Südtirol vs Cosenza Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Südtirol v Cosenza Calcio — Team-Based Signals
Südtirol vs Cosenza Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Südtirol
İTB
0-0
HT 0-0
Südtirol
İTB
1-1
HT 1-0
Cosenza Calcio
İTB
Südtirol 2-1 Cosenza Calcio — Actual Match Statistics
Südtirol squeezed past Cosenza Calcio 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Südtirol as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Südtirol had 47% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 53%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.09 to 1.60 — on chances, Cosenza Calcio could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Südtirol and 0.80 for Cosenza Calcio.
What was the final score of Südtirol vs Cosenza Calcio?
Südtirol 2-1 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Cosenza Calcio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 47%, draw 28%, Cosenza Calcio 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Südtirol), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.