Catanzaro 2-2 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.18
6+ Goals
11%
20.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.78
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
13%
5.53
X/2
11%
5.98
X/X
18%
4.07
2/1
10%
31.0
2/2
13%
4.27
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.17/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.46
+34% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.6 Crosses 18.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sampdoria
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.11 xG 2.85
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
406 Passes 309
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 3-3 HT 1-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
10.05.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-3 HT 1-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
01.10.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-2 HT 1-2 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
2-2
AWAY Sampdoria
1.85 xG 0.65
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
387 Passes 166
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro and Sampdoria couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Catanzaro had 66% of the ball to Sampdoria's 34%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.85 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Catanzaro and 2.33 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Sampdoria?

Catanzaro 2-2 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 39%, draw 32%, Sampdoria 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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