Salernitana 2-0 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.6
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
11.7
X/1
19%
5.07
X/2
8%
8.49
X/X
14%
4.95
2/1
6%
23.3
2/2
17%
5.91
2/X
8%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salernitana EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.86/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.33
+21% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
17.3 Crosses 17.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salernitana
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Mantova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.17 xG 0.43
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 0
362 Passes 450
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 8
11 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 0
01.09.2024 Mantova Mantova 1-0 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
01.05.2010 Salernitana Salernitana 1-3 HT 1-2 Mantova Mantova İTB
05.12.2009 Mantova Mantova 1-1 HT 1-1 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
30.05.2009 Mantova Mantova 1-1 HT 1-1 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
17.01.2009 Salernitana Salernitana 2-1 HT 2-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salernitana
2-0
AWAY Mantova
0.86 xG 0.46
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 0
240 Passes 571
82% Pass Accuracy 91%
18 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salernitana vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salernitana saw off Mantova 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Salernitana as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Salernitana had 32% of the ball to Mantova's 68%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.86 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mantova led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Salernitana and 1.40 for Mantova.

What was the final score of Salernitana vs Mantova?

Salernitana 2-0 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 43%, draw 27%, Mantova 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salernitana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salernitana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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