FC Lahti 1-0 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.15
6+ Goals
13%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 27% vs market 21.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.16
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.35
X/1
10%
5.28
X/2
15%
6.46
X/X
11%
4.82
2/1
7%
24.8
2/2
14%
4.33
2/X
5%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.16/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.20
+14% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.0 Crosses 19.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gnistan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 1.70
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
306 Passes 286
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.06.2026 Gnistan Gnistan 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
22.02.2026 Gnistan Gnistan 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FLK
05.10.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
19.06.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 3-3 HT 1-2 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
02.06.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
17.02.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Lahti FC Lahti FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Lahti
1-0
AWAY Gnistan
2.15 xG 0.87
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
354 Passes 166
79% Pass Accuracy 61%
37 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ FC Lahti vs Gnistan
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FC Lahti edged past Gnistan 1-0 in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 4 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Lahti had 62% of the ball to Gnistan's 38%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.15 to 0.87.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gnistan lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Lahti and 1.50 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs Gnistan?

FC Lahti 1-0 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 41%, draw 23%, Gnistan 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Lahti) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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