Jaro 2-1 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 4 Jul 2026

Jaro
2-1 HT 2-0
Ilves Tampere
📅04/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2026

Jaro vs Ilves Tampere Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.7
6+ Goals
11%
7.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.62
1/2
8%
20.4
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1 EV+ ✗
15%
8.31
X/2
18%
4.78
X/X
8%
5.77
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
19%
2.39
2/X
7%
12.6
Value flag · X/1 at 8.31 — our 15% vs market 8.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-5.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.9pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jaro v Ilves Tampere — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 55%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.28/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.13
-4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 83%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
23.4 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4

Jaro vs Ilves Tampere Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.76 xG 1.80
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
324 Passes 501
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 44
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.06.2026 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 5-0 HT 4-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
31.01.2026 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 4-2 HT 3-1 Jaro Jaro FLK
20.07.2025 Jaro Jaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
12.04.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-1 HT 2-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
22.02.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 4-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FLK
16.08.2015 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN

Jaro 2-1 Ilves Tampere — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
2-1
AWAY Ilves Tampere
2.88 xG 2.41
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 32
9 Shots on Target 12
7 Corners 10
379 Passes 543
86% Pass Accuracy 91%
20 Box Touches 52
19 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Jaro vs Ilves Tampere
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Jaro edged past Ilves Tampere 2-1 in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 4 Jul 2026. Half-time: 2-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, Jaro had 42% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 58%, shots finished 16-32, expected goals 2.88 to 2.41.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere lead the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Jaro and 2.83 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of Jaro vs Ilves Tampere?

Jaro 2-1 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jaro 32%, draw 23%, Ilves Tampere 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilves Tampere) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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