Valerenga 3-1 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Jul 2026

Valerenga
3 - 1 HT 3 - 1
Fredrikstad
📅04/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
Friendlies – 2026/2027

Valerenga vs Fredrikstad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.03
Over
55%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.57
No
41%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.67
2-3
47%
1.77
4-5
25%
2.99
6+
6%
9.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Valerenga v Fredrikstad — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Valerenga The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad The Market 34%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.61 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.25
1.31 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.53
Great Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1

Valerenga vs Fredrikstad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Fredrikstad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.52 xG 1.38
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
367 Passes 311
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 30
22 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.04.2026 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-1 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
23.09.2025 Valerenga Valerenga 1-2 HT 0-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOK
05.07.2025 Valerenga Valerenga 1-1 HT 1-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
09.04.2025 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-0 HT 1-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
06.10.2024 Valerenga Valerenga 0-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOK
16.02.2024 Valerenga Valerenga 1-3 HT 0-2 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad HAZ
REVIEW Valerenga vs Fredrikstad
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Valerenga took care of Fredrikstad 3-1.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Valerenga as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) came home.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fredrikstad led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Valerenga and 1.67 for Fredrikstad.

Valerenga vs Fredrikstad Result & Final Score

Valerenga 3 - 1 Fredrikstad in the Friendlies on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Valerenga vs Fredrikstad Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 43%, draw 27%, Fredrikstad 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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