Walter Ferretti 3-1 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 5 Mar 2026

📅05/03/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -18%
1.57/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.89
-7% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
256 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Export Sebaco
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.02.2026 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
06.10.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-1 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
27.07.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 4-2 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
05.05.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-3 HT 1-2 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
03.03.2025 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
19.01.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-0 HT 3-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti saw off Export Sebaco 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Walter Ferretti as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Walter Ferretti and 1.50 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco?

Walter Ferretti 3-1 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 53%, draw 23%, Export Sebaco 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walter Ferretti), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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