South Shields 0-1 Brackley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Shields EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +25%
1.36/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.87
+5% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Shields
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Brackley Town
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-0 HT 0-0 South Shields South Shields İCON
09.03.2024 South Shields South Shields 0-1 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
28.10.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-1 HT 1-0 South Shields South Shields İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South Shields
0-1
AWAY Brackley Town
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH South Shields vs Brackley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town squeezed past South Shields 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brackley Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, South Shields had 62% of the ball to Brackley Town's 38%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Brackley Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for South Shields and 1.00 for Brackley Town.

What was the final score of South Shields vs Brackley Town?

South Shields 0-1 Brackley Town in the England - Conference on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Shields vs Brackley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split South Shields 33%, draw 23%, Brackley Town 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✗ Over 2.5
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