Welling United 0-0 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.71
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
18.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welling United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.33/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.44
-6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welling United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
26.08.2024 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 0-0 HT 0-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welling United
0-0
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Welling United vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welling United and AFC Hornchurch played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Welling United had 47% of the ball to AFC Hornchurch's 53%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Welling United vs AFC Hornchurch?

Welling United 0-0 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welling United vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Welling United 34%, draw 29%, AFC Hornchurch 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Hornchurch), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
5 Apr 2025
17:00 Southport vs Oxford City Analysis →
17:00 St. Albans City vs Dorking Wanderers Analysis →
17:00 Chippenham Town vs Chelmsford City Analysis →
17:00 Torquay United vs Chesham United Analysis →
17:00 Weston-super-Mare vs Maidstone United Analysis →
17:00 Tonbridge Angels vs Farnborough Analysis →