Cruz Azul vs Pachuca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Pachuca — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Pachuca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
0-2
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
Cruz Azul 1-2 Pachuca — Actual Match Statistics
Pachuca squeezed past Cruz Azul 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Cruz Azul at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 62% of the ball to Pachuca's 38%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 0.98 to 1.06.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cruz Azul and 0.83 for Pachuca.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Pachuca?
Cruz Azul 1-2 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Pachuca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 47%, draw 26%, Pachuca 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.