Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterrey v Atletico San Luis — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Monterrey 1-2 Atletico San Luis — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico San Luis nicked a narrow win over Monterrey 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Monterrey at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Monterrey had 61% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 39%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.74 to 1.02.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Monterrey and 1.00 for Atletico San Luis.
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?
Monterrey 1-2 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 61%, draw 18%, Atletico San Luis 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monterrey) went the other way.