Fildişi Sahili 1-0 Burundi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.27
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.95
No
52%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.81
2-3 Goals
45%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
8%
16.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
75%
-3.8pp
16%
Draw
18%
-1.4pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
30%
+18.3pp
52%
BTTS No
70%
-18.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fildişi Sahili EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Burundi EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+18% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
42.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
40.0 Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fildişi Sahili
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Burundi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 0
1 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2025 Burundi Burundi 0-1 HT 0-1 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili DKE
16.11.2022 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili 4-0 HT 2-0 Burundi Burundi HAZ
09.10.2011 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili 2-1 HT 0-0 Burundi Burundi AFUK
09.10.2010 Burundi Burundi 0-1 HT 0-1 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fildişi Sahili
1-0
AWAY Burundi
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 0
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fildişi Sahili vs Burundi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fildişi Sahili nicked a narrow win over Burundi 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fildişi Sahili as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Fildişi Sahili had 64% of the ball to Burundi's 36%, shots finished 14-0.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fildişi Sahili had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fildişi Sahili and 0.25 for Burundi.

What was the final score of Fildişi Sahili vs Burundi?

Fildişi Sahili 1-0 Burundi in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fildişi Sahili vs Burundi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fildişi Sahili win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Fildişi Sahili 71%, draw 16%, Burundi 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fildişi Sahili), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fildişi Sahili) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
5 Sep 2025
00:00 Namibya vs Malavi Analysis →
00:30 Surinam vs Panama Analysis →
02:30 Kolombiya vs Bolivya Analysis →
02:30 Uruguay vs Peru Analysis →
02:30 Arjantin vs Venezuela Analysis →
02:30 Paraguay vs Ekvador Analysis →